Tropical wave in Caribbean could become storm with Florida in its path

Tropical wave in Caribbean could become storm with Florida in its path”

National Hurricane Center is continuing to closely monitor a tropical wave that developed on Sunday that could bring heavy rain and potential flooding to Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico in the next couple of days.

Some models are moving the cluster of storms more west, others more north.

A tropical disturbance that has formed in the Caribbean could become a tropical storm as it moves closer to the Florida coast.

The Hurricane Center now predicts a low chance of formation - 10 percent over the next two days and 20 percent over the next five days - by week's end, but the disorganized system is set to bring heavy rainfall and possible flooding to Puerto Rico and Hispaniola over the next few days.

Numerical guidance is all over the place with the development of Invest 95L. Forecasters say some development of the system is possible through Friday. Another strong tropical wave is coming off Africa. The European model is more aggressive with development (the American model-not so much) and suggests development into a tropical cyclone-similarly, the EPS has around a 45% of this wave developing into a tropical depression over the next 72 hours. For now we'll just keep an eye on it.

Central Florida is predicted to be lying directly in this wave's projected pathway, allowing it to gain strength through Florida's warm waters.

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