Science

South Carolina declares emergency before storm

The Miami-based National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in its 8:00 am (local time) bulletin said that Dorian was becoming stronger and was moving westward at 12 miles per hour.

Bahamians were heeding the advice of Prime Minister Dr Hubert Minnis as well as disaster and weather officials, as they continued preparations for the passage of Hurricane Dorian that continue to strengthen as it makes its way towards the archipelago. A new storm track has been issued.

Tropical storm force winds are possible. And, because the storm is predicted to be a slow mover, effects from wind, rain, and storm surge, which is the storm-driven rise in water above normally dry land at the coast, could be prolonged, lingering through the middle of next week.

Rainfall predicted due to Dorian over the next week. The storm is then expected to turn north and drag destruction up Florida into Georgia and beyond.

"Here's what you don't realize in these storms - everybody says 'oh, I've gone through a category 2, oh, I've gone through a category 3.' What you don't think about is this storm surge and the amount of rain", he said before citing the impacts of Hurricane Michael previous year.

Coastal areas of the southeastern United States could get 6 to 12 inches (15 to 30 centimeters) of rain, with 18 inches (46 centimeters) in some places, triggering life-threatening flash floods, the hurricane center said.

The fierce Category 4 storm bore down on the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, as new projections for the path of the hurricane curved upward enough to potentially spare Florida a direct hit while still threatening it with powerful winds. The storm may pass near or directly over the islands of Abacos and Grand Bahama while moving at a slow forward speed. "If it bumps just a little west, than you're looking at really, really significant impacts", DeSantis said at a briefing Saturday morning. I'm posting below the location of the storm off the latest Euro-forecast model for NEXT Thursday morning still raging off the Carolina coast!

During its flight through the core of Dorian, it found the pressure dropped from 970 MBs to 950 MBs during the evening. Unfortunately, the wonderful Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island will experience extreme winds for two days or more on this forecast track.

"It's going to be pretty scary because you're going to have this huge hurricane sitting off the coast of Florida and it's not going to move", said private meteorologist Ryan Maue, but with the storm slowing and likely to turn north he adds: "The worst effects of a direct landfall are not in the forecast".

In the northwestern Bahamas, the storm is expected to pour up to 20 inches in isolated areas. Predictions say that Dorian could be a Category 4 storm when it makes landfall as early as Monday along the Florida coast. Significantly, one of these models is the UKMET, which is among the most accurate, and a reason for Floridians to remain prepared.

However, she added, "that storm was significantly weaker than Dorian is".

Farther north into coastal Georgia and the Carolinas, the forecast is also a nail-biter. Just small differences in where the storm starts to turn north and eventually northeast and the shape of the turn will determine where and whether Dorian makes landfall.

Hurricane Dorian approaches the coast of Florida, U.S.in this August 30, 2019 NASA handout satellite image.

Florida's west coast was pummeled by Hurricane Michael just previous year when Mexico Beach and Panama City Beach took the brunt of that Category 5 storm.

Capital Weather Gang's Andrew Freedman and Matthew Cappucci contributed to this article.



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