Health Care

Nobel Laureate Michael Levitt predicts COVID-19 to soon go away #50162

Nobel Laureate Michael Levitt predicts COVID-19 to soon go away #50162”

"This suggests that the rate of increase in a number of the deaths will slow down even more over the next week", Levitt predicted on February 1, which was widely shared around Chinese social media.

Today Levitt examines 78 countries that have reported more than 50 new infections every day.

China is now fighting to stop new waves of the infection. More on Covid-19Coronavirus pandemic: Complete Coverage21-day lockdown: What will stay open and what won'tHow to quarantine yourself at homeTrust the newspaper for your daily verified newsThink that is just draconian China?Levitt says similar turning points can be observed for other countries - even those without authoritarian clampdowns - although most countries hit by Covid-19 are still trying to bring down the number of daily new cases.

Still, even with the incomplete data, he believes that the consistent decline could only mean that there are factors at work and not just some noise in the numbers. Now, Levitt has the same guess for coronavirus cases across the world.

The recipient of the Nobel Prize for Chemistry in 2013 defies the doomsday predictions by various epidemiologists saying the data simply don't support such a dire scenario-especially in areas where reasonable social distancing measures are in place.

"What we need is to control the panic", he explained.

The trajectory of deaths backs up his findings, he said.

Levitt said that social-distancing mandates and getting vaccinated against the flu are both critical to the fight against the spread. "The goal is not to reach the situation the cruise ship experienced". By contrast, the flu has sickened 36 million Americans since September and killed an estimated 22,000, according to the CDC, but those deaths are largely unreported. Overreaction could trigger another crisis, with lost jobs and hopelessness world over, he added. Time and again, researchers have seen that suicide rates go up when the economy spirals down. He says that the "virus can grow exponentially only when it is undetected and no one is acting to control it". That's what happened in South Korea, when it ripped through a closed-off cult that refused to report the illness.

Anxious about the U.S., earlier this month, he told that if isolation didn't happen on time, it could lead to a situation where huge number of infected people would descend on the nearest hospital simultaneously leading to the collapse of the healthcare system.

The Nobel laureate said people need not to panic, but act cautiously to combat the virus.

According to Levitt, if the spread of the virus continued to increase at the same rate, the whole world could be infected within 90 days, but Levitt continued to process the data and realized that the pattern had changed.



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