Jacinda Ardern and partner turned away from Wellington cafe

Jacinda Ardern and partner turned away from Wellington cafe”

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern (R) her partner Clarke Gayford (L) and their child Neve pictured in 2019.

The 39-year-old's centre-left Labour Party was up 14 points at 56.5 per cent, a Newshub-Reid Research poll published yesterday found, with her rating as preferred prime minister surging 20.8 points to 59.5 per cent.

On these numbers Labour would have 72 seats in Parliament and could easily govern alone, well above a 61-seat majority.

It would mean at least 16 current National Party MPs would lose their seats.

Unless there is a change in fortune, that is bad news for the likes of Paula Bennett, who is standing list-only in the next election, and finance spokesman Paul Goldsmith who is the Epsom candidate but cedes that seat to Act's David Seymour. Simon Bridges is down to 4.5 percent.

The poll was conducted between the 8 and 16 May and has a margin of error of 3.1 percent. She told Newshub it was a "privileged opportunity to be leading at this time".

"The fact that I'm making no assumptions about what will be the end outcome will be on election day should be a nod to that".

Bridges on Tuesday told Newstalk ZB he was staying on as leader, despite the poll. But that's not an election campaign.

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Bridges said the Government had no plan for jobs and economic growth. Bridges said incumbents around the world had enjoyed poll bumps in the wake of Covid-19 and predicted it would not last.

"We've had wall-to-wall coverage of the Government and the health aspects of Covid-19", Bridges said.

The dining hiccup happened on Saturday at Olive restaurant, two days after the country relaxed many of its lockdown rules, including reopening restaurants.

Ardern's decision to put the country into lockdown also got massive public support - nearly 92% of voters said it was the right call, including 84% of National Party supporters.

There have been no public polls since the start of the Covid-19 crisis, but a leaked UMR corporate poll from late-April had National at 29 per cent and Labour at 55 per cent.

Meanwhile the last One News/Colmar Brunton poll, also from February, had National well ahead of Labour at 46 per cent to 41 per cent.

However, those results were not as resounding as these - nor as close to an election.

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