Science

NOAA predicts warmer, drier winter for 2020 season

NOAA predicts warmer, drier winter for 2020 season”

NOAA says cooler ocean temperatures from La Niña will affect winter temperatures, precipitation levels, and drought conditions.

More modest probabilities for warmer temperatures are forecast from California to the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast.

Drought conditions are the most widespread they have been in the lower 48 states in more than seven years, since September 2013, NOAA said.

"The drought outlook product actually covers the period only through January, while the winter outlook does cover another month through February", David Miskus, who leads the Climate Prediction Center's drought outlook team, said.

This year's Winter outlook also shows wetter than average conditions for much of the northern states, while drier than average conditions are favored for the Southwest, Gulf coast and Florida.

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On the total opposite side of that, the government's official weather forecasters over at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (better known as NOAA), are calling for a less unpleasant stretch of winter weather for us here in New Jersey. The remainder of the US, including the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast falls into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average precipitation.

In other parts of the country, including California, the drought could get worse in the coming months.

"NOAA's timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity", Neil Jacobs, NOAA's acting administrator, said.

So, which winter 2020-2021 forecast do you prefer, The Farmers' Almanac's "cold and stormy" outlook or NOAA's "mild and normal precipitation" forecast?



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